Gabriel Jesus Was the Weak Link for Arsenal in 2023-24 – Is it time to say Adios?

Arsenal's Brazilian striker Gabriel Jesus applauds the fans following the English Premier League football match between Fulham and Arsenal at Craven Cottage in London on March 12, 2023. (Photo by ADRIAN DENNIS / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE. No use with unauthorized audio, video, data, fixture lists, club/league logos or 'live' services. Online in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No video emulation. Social media in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No use in betting publications, games or single club/league/player publications. / (Photo by ADRIAN DENNIS/AFP via Getty Images)

Manchester City have Erling Haaland. Liverpool have Mohamed Salah. Arsenal have Gabriel Jesus. The Brazilian is not of the same calibre as the aforementioned duo, and that has held Arsenal back at times over the last couple of seasons.

Great teams invariably have a truly elite goal scorer. Jesus, who has never had more than 14 goals in a league campaign, is not that. The history of the Premier League is littered with brilliant centre forwards from Alan Shearer and Andy Cole to Didier Drogba, Thierry Henry, and Ruud van Nistelrooy.

Paddy Power, which has a huge range of markets for betting on football, prices Arsenal at 7/4 to win the 2024-25 Premier League title. The Gunners finished just two points behind Manchester City in 2023-24 but didn’t have a single player score more than 16 league goals.

Where Does Jesus Fit in at Arsenal

If Arsenal are to finally overcome City in 2025, they need to address their weakest link. Jesus was superseded by Kai Havertz during last season, and it’s hard to see what his role will be going forward.

Yes, he was used as a supersub for City at times, but last term was the fifth time in six seasons that Jesus underperformed his expected goals and the third season in a row. He’s too often wasteful in front of goal – his 0.39 expected goals per 90 last season also represented a marked drop-off. He scored just 0.24 goals per 90 minutes.

Bryan Mbeumo, Eberechi Eze, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, and Dominic Solanke were just a few of the players to generate more expected goals per 90 than Jesus. Rodri, Abdoulaye Doucoure, Douglas Luiz, and Danny Welbeck scored more goals per 90.

These numbers make for bleak reading. Jesus was playing in a lethal attack, but his statistics look like he was part of a mediocre, mid-table side. Arsenal’s attack is egalitarian compared to some of their rivals, but that does not justify Jesus’ output.

Disappointing Goal Returns

Since signing for Arsenal in 2022, Jesus has 15 non-penalty Premier League goals in 3,542 minutes. In 2023-24 alone, 11 Premier League players had more than 15 goals, including Jean-Philippe Mateta, Jared Bowen, and Jesus’ teammate Bukayo Saka.

Finding a reliable, well-suited striker isn’t easy. With the attacking talent Mikel Arteta has at his disposal, this team is capable of winning major trophies with Havertz leading the line. At the same time, a true, consistent goalscorer would heighten their ceiling, just as Haaland made City into treble winners.

Alternatively, Arteta could look in-house for a player of that nature. Saka is the best fit, but perhaps Havertz can increase his goal tally or Gabriel Martinelli can make a meaningful leap.

Jesus improved Arsenal when he was signed, but the Gunners’ rapid evolution under Arteta has seen the team pass him by. They have outgrown a striker of his skillset and production.

Arsenal were so close to winning a first league title in two decades. With 28 wins and 89 points on the board, they didn’t do too much wrong, but one can’t help wondering if they would have pipped City with an upgrade on Jesus.

Tags Jesus weak link

12 Comments

  1. I think this unfair.

    Since he has been with us he has been hampered with a constant knee injury so we have not actually seen a full season from him.

    I agree he isn’t a natural number 9 so comparing him to Haaland is nonsensical, but he has the ability to be constant nuisance to opposing defenders, hence why I believe he was bought and why others have higher numbers.

    Before we throw him on the scrap heap let’s see what he can do when he is fully fit.

    1. I agree with your comment. He may never fully recover (both physically and mentally) from the devastating injury he suffered at the World Cup. However, if there is any reasonable chance of him returning to the abilities which he displayed in his first several months with the club it is worth the risk to give him a little more time.

      That doesn’t mean that we should not still seek a striker in the transfer market. I like Nketiah but he should go at this point imo.

  2. I think its more than fair tbh. He is poor at everything you want/need in a centre forward. Luckily Havertz proved hes a excellent cf or last season could have seen us fighting for 4th.

  3. I’m happy for him to stay as he had injuries to be fair. But we still need to sign a top forward in my opinion

  4. He is not, and never was, a striker in the 20+ goals a season category. It’s true he has been plagued by injuries, but he’s never reached the kind of goal-scoring consistency required (and lacking) by Arsenal even when at City.

    He has other qualities, but I think it’s probably time for a parting of the ways as he’s a high earner at the club and Arsenal really aren’t getting full value from him. His injury position could improve of course, but is that likely? I doubt it now.

    If Arsenal/Arteta are serious about winning the PL in 2024-45 – and nothing less than winning it will do after two narrow misses – then Arsenal needs to be able to compete with City (and who knows who else) in every department, including strikers.

  5. Suddenly the reports about a deal for Gyokeres have resurfaced this morning. A rehash of the old trash reports from Portugal, or could there be something in there?

  6. Jesus and Martinelli let us down big time last season. The days when Saka and Odegaard etc are not on it Those are the days when others need to step up. I’m not talking about scoring the third or fourth goal of a game They need to step up and for me, they are a big reason why we fell short last season I blame those two more than anything else

    1. Let’s put pressure on Edu so that he can buy a center forward. Then every player will play on their position so that we can evaluate them fairly. WE ARE NOT BUYING AND WE ARE NOT SELLING. We need to get serious we will end up with nothing

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